Where the market is wrong on Ljungskile SK v Sandviken
Ljungskile SK meet Sandviken in the Superettan regular season - 16 at Skarsjövallen, Ljungskile. The model makes Ljungskile SK the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% LJU, 29% draw, 29% SAN.
Ljungskile SK rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1565 to 1432. Recent form leans Ljungskile SK, 58% against 39%. Attacking output favors Ljungskile SK on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Ljungskile SK at 59%; double chance reads Ljungskile SK or draw 71%, Sandviken or draw 59%.
Ljungskile SK arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sandviken, W 3-2 @ IFK Varnamo, W 3-2 v Orebro SK, D 0-0 @ Oddevold.
Sandviken are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Ljungskile SK, L 0-3 @ IFK Norrkoping, W 4-2 v Helsingborg, D 1-1 @ Orebro SK.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ljungskile SK 2-1 Sandviken.
The market prices LJU at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
