Where the market is wrong on NTNUI v Nardo
NTNUI meet Nardo in the 3. Division - Girone 2 regular season - 21.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Nardo on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
NTNUI arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Nardo, W 2-0 @ Kvik Trondheim, D 4-4 v Molde II, L 1-3 @ Orkla.
Nardo are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 19 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ NTNUI, W 4-1 v Ranheim II, W 5-2 @ Rosenborg II, W 4-2 v Spjelkavik.
Nardo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: NTNUI 2-5 Nardo.
The market prices NTN at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
