Where the market is wrong on Heming v Ullern
Heming meet Ullern in the 3. Division - Girone 1 regular season - 21.
Heming rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1420. Recent form leans Heming, 63% against 35%. Attacking output favors Heming on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.
Heming arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 18 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Ullern, W 4-1 @ SF Grei, W 5-1 v Frigg, L 1-2 @ Gamle Oslo.
Ullern are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Heming, W 2-1 v Vålerenga II, L 3-4 @ IF Ready, L 2-6 v Asker.
Heming hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Heming 3-0 Ullern.
The market prices HEM at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
