Sarmiento Junin v Estudiantes L.P.

Sarmiento Junin meet Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 6 at Estadio Eva Perón, Junin.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Estudiantes L.P., 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Estudiantes L.P. on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Estudiantes L.P. at 62%; double chance reads Sarmiento Junin or draw 57%, Estudiantes L.P. or draw 74%.

Sarmiento Junin arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Union Santa Fe, W 2-0 v Estudiantes L.P., W 2-0 v Huracan, W 2-1 @ Atletico Tucuman.

Estudiantes L.P. are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Barracas Central, L 0-2 @ Sarmiento Junin, W 3-0 @ U. Catolica, W 4-0 v Gimnasia L.P..

The market prices SAR at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Estudiantes L.P.: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.