Where the market is wrong on Cobh Ramblers v Bray Wanderers
Cobh Ramblers meet Bray Wanderers in the First Division regular season - 24. The model makes Bray Wanderers the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 27% COB, 28% draw, 45% BRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bray Wanderers, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bray Wanderers on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Bray Wanderers at 62%; double chance reads Cobh Ramblers or draw 55%, Bray Wanderers or draw 73%.
Cobh Ramblers arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Bray Wanderers, L 1-2 @ Waterford, L 0-2 @ Athlone Town, L 0-1 v Cork City.
Bray Wanderers are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cobh Ramblers, W 1-0 @ Finn Harps, W 6-0 v UCD, W 1-0 v Athlone Town.
Cobh Ramblers hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cobh Ramblers 1-2 Bray Wanderers.
The market prices COB at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
