Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers: the model read
Dundalk meet Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division regular season - 36 at Oriel Park, Dundalk. The model makes Shamrock Rovers the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% DUN, 29% draw, 41% SHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shamrock Rovers, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Shamrock Rovers on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Shamrock Rovers at 59%; double chance reads Dundalk or draw 59%, Shamrock Rovers or draw 71%.
Dundalk arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ St Patrick's Athl., W 3-1 @ St Mochta's, L 1-2 v Drogheda United, L 1-2 @ Shelbourne.
Shamrock Rovers are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ararat-Armenia, L 0-2 @ Ararat-Armenia, W 4-1 v Cork City, W 5-1 v Floriana.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock Rovers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
