Drogheda United v Dundalk: the model read
Drogheda United meet Dundalk in the Premier Division regular season - 29 at Weavers Park, Drogheda.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 50%. Attacking output favors Dundalk on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Dundalk at 57%; double chance reads Drogheda United or draw 60%, Dundalk or draw 69%.
Drogheda United arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Dundalk, L 0-2 v St Patrick's Athl., W 3-0 @ College Corinthians, D 0-0 @ Galway United.
Dundalk are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Drogheda United, L 1-2 v Galway United, W 8-0 v Castlebar Celtic, L 2-3 @ Shamrock Rovers.
The market prices DRO at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
