Derry City v Shamrock Rovers

Derry City meet Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division regular season - 29 at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry.

Shamrock Rovers rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1431. Recent form leans Shamrock Rovers, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Shamrock Rovers on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

Derry City arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Shamrock Rovers, L 3-5 @ Bohemians, W 2-1 @ UCD, W 2-0 v Sligo Rovers.

Shamrock Rovers are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Derry City, L 0-1 @ KuPS, D 1-1 v KuPS, L 2-3 @ St Patrick's Athl..

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Derry City 3-3 Shamrock Rovers.

The market prices DER at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Shamrock Rovers: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.