Sligo Rovers v Waterford: the model read
Sligo Rovers meet Waterford in the Premier Division regular season - 28 at Showgrounds, Sligo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Waterford, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Waterford on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Waterford at 56%; double chance reads Sligo Rovers or draw 60%, Waterford or draw 69%.
Sligo Rovers arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Waterford, W 4-0 v Kerry, L 0-2 @ Derry City, D 1-1 @ Dundalk.
Waterford are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Sligo Rovers, W 2-1 v Athlone Town, W 3-1 v Bohemians, W 1-0 v Shelbourne.
Sligo Rovers hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sligo Rovers 0-0 Waterford.
The market prices SLI at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
