Vancouver Whitecaps v St. Louis City

Vancouver Whitecaps meet St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at BC Place, Vancouver.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 68%. Attacking output favors Vancouver Whitecaps on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.

Vancouver Whitecaps arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Sporting Kansas City, W 5-0 v FC Dallas, L 0-1 v Houston Dynamo, W 2-0 @ Seattle Sounders.

St. Louis City are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v FC Dallas, W 2-1 v Houston Dynamo, D 1-1 @ Sporting Kansas City, W 3-1 @ San Jose Earthquakes.

Vancouver Whitecaps hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 St. Louis City.

The market prices VAN at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on St. Louis City: a 18.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.