Seattle Sounders v New York Red Bulls

Seattle Sounders meet New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at Lumen Field, Seattle.

The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 40%. Attacking output favors New York Red Bulls on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

Seattle Sounders arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Chicago Fire, D 1-1 @ FC Cincinnati, L 1-2 v Austin, L 0-2 v Vancouver Whitecaps.

New York Red Bulls are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Philadelphia Union, D 1-1 v Chicago Fire, L 0-1 v Nashville SC, L 1-2 @ Atlanta United FC.

Seattle Sounders hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Seattle Sounders 1-0 New York Red Bulls.

The market prices SEA at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on New York Red Bulls: a 11.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.