Where the market is wrong on Columbus Crew v New England Revolution
Columbus Crew meet New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer regular season - 22 at Lower.com Field, Columbus.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1560, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans New England Revolution, 58% against 45%. Attacking output favors New England Revolution on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Columbus Crew arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v New England Revolution, L 0-2 @ Club America, L 2-3 @ Nashville SC, L 1-2 v CF Montreal.
New England Revolution are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Columbus Crew, D 1-1 v New York City FC, W 3-0 @ DC United, L 1-2 @ Toronto FC.
The market prices COL at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on New England Revolution: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
