Vancouver Whitecaps v FC Dallas

Vancouver Whitecaps meet FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer regular season - 21 at BC Place, Vancouver.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 60%. Attacking output favors Vancouver Whitecaps on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Vancouver Whitecaps at 56%; double chance reads Vancouver Whitecaps or draw 68%, FC Dallas or draw 60%.

Vancouver Whitecaps arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v FC Dallas, L 0-1 v Houston Dynamo, W 2-0 @ Seattle Sounders, D 1-1 @ Tigres UANL.

FC Dallas are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Vancouver Whitecaps, W 4-3 @ Real Salt Lake, W 2-1 @ Austin, L 1-3 @ Toluca.

Vancouver Whitecaps hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 FC Dallas.

The market prices VAN at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Dallas: a 14.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.