SS Reyes v Toledo: the model read
SS Reyes meet Toledo in the Copa Federacion quarter-finals at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% SS , 35% draw, 32% TOL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SS Reyes, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors SS Reyes on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans SS Reyes at 51%; double chance reads SS Reyes or draw 68%, Toledo or draw 67%.
SS Reyes arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v UD Logroñés, L 0-1 @ UD Logroñés, D 1-1 v Alcoyano, W 2-0 @ Alcoyano.
Toledo are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Albacete II, D 0-0 @ Albacete II, L 0-1 @ Pedroñeras, L 0-2 v Calvo Sotelo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
