Macarthur v Wellington Phoenix: the model read
Macarthur meet Wellington Phoenix in the A-League regular season - 26 at Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Macarthur on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Macarthur arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SD Raiders, W 3-0 @ Uni Azzurri, W 4-0 v Wellington Phoenix, L 1-3 @ Adelaide United.
Wellington Phoenix are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Macarthur, W 2-1 v Western Sydney Wanderers, L 0-2 @ Melbourne City, W 1-0 @ Melbourne Victory.
Wellington Phoenix hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Macarthur 4-0 Wellington Phoenix.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
