Durango v Leones Negros: the model read
Durango meet Leones Negros in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 19 at Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango. The model makes Durango the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% DUR, 30% draw, 24% LEO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1696 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Durango, 78% against 60%. Attacking output favors Durango on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Durango at 65%; double chance reads Durango or draw 76%, Leones Negros or draw 54%.
Durango arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tepatitlán, D 0-0 v Deportiva Venados, L 1-2 @ Deportiva Venados, W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap.
Leones Negros are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Celaya, L 0-5 @ Celaya, W 1-0 v Tritons Vallarta, W 2-0 @ Tecos.
Durango hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Durango 1-0 Leones Negros.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output