Al-Qadisiyah FC confirmed the Lemeister model's pre-match assessment of them as clear favourites with a commanding 2-0 victory over Al-Hazm at the Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium. The statistical chasm between the sides was decisive; the home side amassed 2.46 expected goals, the visitors just 0.05. Al-Qadisiyah enjoyed 63 percent possession and fired 11 total shots, six on target, while Al-Hazm managed two attempts and none on goal. The Lemeister model had projected a home win with 54 percent probability and a predicted scoreline of 3-0, making the actual 2-0 result a slightly more restrained but still comfortable outcome.
The breakthrough arrived in the 14th minute. J. Quinones opened the scoring, with M. Al Juwayr providing the assist for a normal goal that gave Al-Qadisiyah the lead. Having established that advantage, the home side tightened their grip, controlling the ball and territory. The second goal did not arrive until the 86th minute, but it sealed the win when A. A. Hazazi finished, assisted this time by J. Quinones. The pattern of the contest was set early and sustained throughout.
The underlying numbers expose the dominance. Al-Qadisiyah completed 522 passes with an 86 percent accuracy rate, while Al-Hazm managed only 303 passes at 78 percent. Shots inside the box heavily favoured the home side, eight to one, and the visitors failed to register a single shot on goal across the 90 minutes. Al-Hazm earned four corner kicks, not far from Al-Qadisiyah's six, but could not convert any set-piece into a threatening attempt. The away side also accumulated three yellow cards through Mohammed Al-Yami, Loreintz Rosier and Abdullah Al-Shanqiti, while Al-Qadisiyah’s Gastón Álvarez saw a late booking. The goalkeeper saves column, four for Al-Hazm and zero for Al-Qadisiyah, further illustrates the one-way traffic.
Julián Quiñones earned the highest individual match rating of 8.3, reflecting his direct contribution of a goal and an assist. Christopher Baah followed with a 7.7 rating, while Nacho Fernández (7.6) and Jehad Thakri (7.5) also impressed. Nahitan Nández (7.5) and Otávio (7.3) helped anchor the midfield with solid performances. The Al-Qadisiyah defence faced little sustained pressure, and the goalkeeper was not required to make a single save, a testament to the team's control. Al-Hazm's attacking output was negligible; their two shots from outside the box and one from inside produced zero xG threat.
For Al-Qadisiyah, this win in the 33rd round consolidates their position in the Pro League table, adding three points as the campaign enters its decisive phase. The clean sheet and the dominance in every key metric will reinforce confidence. Al-Hazm, by contrast, will reflect on an afternoon in which they offered almost nothing in attack and were outclassed in nearly every measurable category. Their defensive discipline also faltered, with three yellow cards and an inability to stop the home side's creative players from combining effectively. The result leaves them with significant work required to climb the table, while Al-Qadisiyah can take encouragement from a performance that matched the pre-match statistical expectations.
