La Roche VF v Bordeaux: the model read
La Roche VF meet Bordeaux in the National 2 - Group A group a - 22 at Stade Henri Desgrange, La Roche-sur-Yon. The model makes La Roche VF the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% LA , 30% draw, 28% BOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans La Roche VF, 80% against 68%. Attacking output favors La Roche VF on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans La Roche VF at 60%; double chance reads La Roche VF or draw 72%, Bordeaux or draw 58%.
La Roche VF arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Nantes, W 3-2 @ Le Mans, W 2-0 @ Saint-Colomban Locminé, W 4-1 v Chauray.
Bordeaux are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Avranches, W 1-0 v Les Herbiers, W 2-1 @ Bayonne, W 4-1 v Montlouis.
Bordeaux hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: La Roche VF 1-0 Bordeaux.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
