Fréjus St-Raphaël v Toulon: the model read
Fréjus St-Raphaël meet Toulon in the National 2 - Group C group c - 28 at Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël. The model makes Toulon the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% FRÉ, 30% draw, 36% TOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 38%. Attacking output favors Toulon on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Toulon at 51%; double chance reads Fréjus St-Raphaël or draw 64%, Toulon or draw 66%.
Fréjus St-Raphaël arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grasse, L 0-1 @ Bobigny, L 0-1 v Toulon, D 0-0 v Saint-Priest.
Toulon are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bobigny, D 2-2 @ Saint-Priest, W 1-0 @ Fréjus St-Raphaël, W 2-1 v Rumilly Vallières.
Toulon hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 7 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fréjus St-Raphaël 0-1 Toulon.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
