Havelse v Erzgebirge Aue: the model read
Havelse meet Erzgebirge Aue in the 3. Liga regular season - 22 at Eilenriedestadion, Hannover. The model makes Erzgebirge Aue the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 29% HAV, 25% draw, 46% ERZ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1445 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 42%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 88%, over 2.5 goals around 95%. Draw no bet leans Erzgebirge Aue at 61%; double chance reads Havelse or draw 54%, Erzgebirge Aue or draw 71%.
Havelse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Eintracht Norderstedt, L 1-2 @ Eintracht Braunschweig, W 3-2 @ Atlas Delmenhorst, L 1-6 @ Alemannia Aachen.
Erzgebirge Aue are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Havelse 3-1 Erzgebirge Aue.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
