Esportivo v Gramadense: the model read
Esportivo meet Gramadense in the Gaúcho - 2 1st phase - 8 at Estádio Parque Esportivo Montanha dos Vinhedos, Bento Gonçalves, Rio Grande do Sul. The model makes Gramadense the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 32% ESP, 34% draw, 34% GRA.
Gramadense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1443. Recent form leans Gramadense, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Esportivo on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Gramadense at 52%; double chance reads Esportivo or draw 66%, Gramadense or draw 68%.
Esportivo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Aimoré, L 0-1 @ Aimoré, D 1-1 v Brasil DE Pelotas, W 3-1 @ Juventude II.
Gramadense are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Brasil DE Pelotas, L 0-1 v Bagé, W 1-0 @ Bagé, D 2-2 @ Santa Cruz RS.
Gramadense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Esportivo 0-1 Gramadense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
