Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse: the model read
Stade Brestois 29 meet Toulouse in the Ligue 1 regular season - 19 at Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest. The model makes Toulouse the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% STA, 30% draw, 35% TOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Toulouse on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Toulouse at 51%; double chance reads Stade Brestois 29 or draw 65%, Toulouse or draw 66%.
Stade Brestois 29 arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al Wakrah, D 2-2 v Concarneau, D 1-1 v Angers, L 1-2 v Strasbourg.
Toulouse are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Rodez, W 2-1 v Lyon, W 2-1 @ Strasbourg, D 2-2 v Monaco.
Stade Brestois 29 hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stade Brestois 29 0-2 Toulouse.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
