Dordrecht v Willem II: the model read
Dordrecht meet Willem II in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 38 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 25% DOR, 29% draw, 46% WIL.
Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1512. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 50%. Attacking output favors Willem II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 64%; double chance reads Dordrecht or draw 54%, Willem II or draw 75%.
Dordrecht arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Lusail City, W 4-1 v Borussia Dortmund II, L 0-2 v Excelsior, L 0-6 v Feyenoord.
Willem II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dordrecht 1-2 Willem II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
