Pisa v Napoli: the model read
Pisa meet Napoli in the Serie A regular season - 37 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa. The model makes Napoli the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 22% PIS, 27% draw, 51% NAP.
Napoli rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Napoli, 60% against 16%. Attacking output favors Napoli on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Napoli at 70%; double chance reads Pisa or draw 49%, Napoli or draw 78%.
Pisa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Pavia, L 1-2 @ Lazio, L 0-3 v Napoli, L 0-3 @ Cremonese.
Napoli are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Arezzo, W 1-0 v Udinese, W 3-0 @ Pisa, L 2-3 v Bologna.
Napoli hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pisa 0-3 Napoli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
