Gambia v Algeria

Gambia meet Algeria in the African Nations Championship - Qualification play-offs - 2nd round at Independence Stadium, Bakau.

Algeria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1477. Recent form leans Algeria, 75% against 48%. Attacking output favors Algeria on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Algeria at 65%; double chance reads Gambia or draw 53%, Algeria or draw 75%.

Gambia arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 14 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Iran, L 1-3 @ Senegal, D 2-2 @ Kuwait, W 7-0 @ Seychelles.

Algeria are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Switzerland, D 3-3 v Austria, W 2-1 @ Jordan, L 0-3 @ Argentina.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.