Casa Sport v HLM: the model read
Casa Sport meet HLM in the Ligue 1 regular season - 17 at Stade Aline Sitoé Diatta, Ziguinchor. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 35% CAS, 40% draw, 26% HLM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Casa Sport on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 11%, over 2.5 goals around 6%. Draw no bet leans Casa Sport at 58%; double chance reads Casa Sport or draw 74%, HLM or draw 65%.
Casa Sport arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v DSC, D 0-0 @ Jaraaf, W 1-0 v Pikine, W 3-0 @ Sonacos.
HLM are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Pikine, D 0-0 @ Sonacos, L 0-1 v Génération Foot, D 0-0 v La Linguère.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Casa Sport 0-0 HLM.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
