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Copa do Nordeste · Group Stage - 1 · Brazil

Bahia v Sampaio Correa

4-0完场· Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia· 裁判: Diego Roberto Souza de Melo

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比赛分析赛前简报

Bahia v Sampaio Correa: the model read

Bahia meet Sampaio Correa in the Copa do Nordeste group stage - 1 at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia. The model makes Sampaio Correa the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% BAH, 31% draw, 41% SAM.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Bahia on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Sampaio Correa at 59%; double chance reads Bahia or draw 59%, Sampaio Correa or draw 71%.

Bahia arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Atletico-MG, W 2-0 v Chapecoense-sc, L 0-2 @ Fluminense, W 4-1 v Atletico Torque.

Sampaio Correa are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Trem, L 0-2 v Trem, L 0-1 v Iguatu, W 3-1 @ IAPE.

Bahia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bahia 4-0 Sampaio Correa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bahia

WWLWD7-5-8

进球 1.50 · 失球 1.50 · 零封 20% · 两队均得分 70%

  • D客场Atletico-MG1-1
  • W主场Chapecoense-sc2-0
  • L客场Fluminense0-2
  • W主场Atletico Torque4-1
  • W主场Botafogo2-1

Sampaio Correa

WWLLW7-8-5

进球 1.40 · 失球 0.80 · 零封 40% · 两队均得分 35%

  • W客场Trem2-1
  • L主场Trem0-2
  • L主场Iguatu0-1
  • W客场IAPE3-1
  • W主场Moto Club4-0

Head-to-head

9 meetings

BahiarecordSampaio Correa
4
2
3 draws

Goals

9-4

for each

Avg goals

1.4

per game

BTTS

11%

both scored

Over 2.5

11%

3+ goals

Bahia

Recent
WLLWWW
Wins 4Goals 9-4

Biggest win 4-0

Sampaio Correa

Recent
LWWLLL
Wins 2Goals 4-9

Biggest win 2-0

  • Bahia4-0Sampaio Correa
  • Sampaio Correa1-0Bahia
  • Sampaio Correa2-0Bahia
  • Bahia1-0Sampaio Correa
  • Bahia2-0Sampaio Correa
  • Bahia1-0Sampaio Correa
  • Sampaio Correa0-0Bahia
  • Bahia1-1Sampaio Correa
  • Sampaio Correa0-0Bahia

Managers

Rogério Ceni

Brazil · 52

In charge since 2023 · 7 clubs managed

  • São Paulo2021–2023
  • Flamengo2020–2021
  • Fortaleza2019–2020
  • Cruzeiro2019–2019

Zé Augusto

Brazil · 47

In charge since 2025 · 9 clubs managed

  • Moto Club2024–2025
  • Ríver2024–2024
  • Sampaio Corrêa2024–2024
  • Maranhão2023–2024

仅显示真实数据:近期战绩、交锋记录和市场赔率。无 Lemeister 先验数据的球队不显示模型输出。