Bandeirante SP v EC Lemense: the model read
Bandeirante SP meet EC Lemense in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 7 at Estádio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel, Birigui, São Paulo. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% BAN, 35% draw, 34% EC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors EC Lemense on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans EC Lemense at 52%; double chance reads Bandeirante SP or draw 66%, EC Lemense or draw 69%.
Bandeirante SP arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Linense, W 2-0 @ Rio Branco SP, L 1-2 v Catanduva, D 2-2 v EC São Bernardo.
EC Lemense are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Inter de Bebedouro, L 0-2 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 1-1 v Grêmio Sãocarlense, L 0-2 @ ECUS.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bandeirante SP 1-0 EC Lemense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
