Bandeirante SP v Marília: the model read
Bandeirante SP meet Marília in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 1 at Estádio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel, Birigui, São Paulo. The model makes Marília the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 22% BAN, 33% draw, 44% MAR.
Marília rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1420. Recent form leans Marília, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Marília on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Marília at 66%; double chance reads Bandeirante SP or draw 56%, Marília or draw 78%.
Bandeirante SP arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Linense, W 2-0 @ Rio Branco SP, L 1-2 v Catanduva, D 2-2 v EC São Bernardo.
Marília are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grêmio Prudente, L 0-2 @ Portuguesa Santista, D 2-2 v Portuguesa Santista, D 2-2 v XV de Jau.
Bandeirante SP hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Marília 4-0 Bandeirante SP.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
