Amora v Estrela Vendas Novas: the model read
Amora meet Estrela Vendas Novas in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D group d - 18 at Estádio da Medideira, Amora. The model makes Amora the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% AMO, 31% draw, 23% EST.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Amora, 38% against 8%. Attacking output favors Amora on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Amora at 66%; double chance reads Amora or draw 77%, Estrela Vendas Novas or draw 54%.
Amora arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SC Covilha, L 1-2 v Lusitano Évora 1911, W 1-0 @ 1º Dezembro, L 1-2 v Caldas.
Estrela Vendas Novas are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Comércio Indústria, L 1-6 @ Moncarapachense, L 2-3 v FC Barreirense, L 1-4 v Fabril Barreiro.
Amora hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Amora 3-0 Estrela Vendas Novas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
