Dock Sud v Villa San Carlos: the model read
Dock Sud meet Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana clausura - 21 at Estadio de los Inmigrantes, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes Dock Sud the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% DOC, 35% draw, 28% VIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dock Sud, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Dock Sud on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Dock Sud at 57%; double chance reads Dock Sud or draw 72%, Villa San Carlos or draw 62%.
Dock Sud arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Real Pilar, D 0-0 v UAI Urquiza, L 1-2 @ Villa Dalmine, W 3-1 v Excursionistas.
Villa San Carlos are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Deportivo Camioneros, L 0-1 @ Sportivo Italiano, D 0-0 v San Martín Burzaco, W 3-1 @ Ituzaingó.
Dock Sud hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dock Sud 2-0 Villa San Carlos.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
