Lobos Buap v Puebla: the model read
Lobos Buap meet Puebla in the Liga MX clausura - 12 at Estadio Universitario BUAP, Puebla. The model makes Lobos Buap the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% LOB, 30% draw, 34% PUE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lobos Buap, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Lobos Buap on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Lobos Buap at 51%; double chance reads Lobos Buap or draw 66%, Puebla or draw 65%.
Lobos Buap arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Toluca, L 1-4 v Cruz Azul, W 2-1 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 v Tigres UANL.
Puebla are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Cruz Azul, W 1-0 @ FC Juarez, W 4-3 @ Atlas, L 1-3 @ CF Pachuca.
Puebla hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Lobos Buap 0-4 Puebla.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
