Ferro Carril v Cerro: the model read
Ferro Carril meet Cerro in the Copa Uruguay round of 32 at Estadio Ernesto Dickinson, Salto. The model makes Ferro Carril the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% FER, 31% draw, 24% CER.
Ferro Carril rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1547 to 1400. Recent form leans Ferro Carril, 61% against 30%. Attacking output favors Ferro Carril on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Ferro Carril at 66%; double chance reads Ferro Carril or draw 76%, Cerro or draw 55%.
Ferro Carril arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Defensor Sporting, D 1-1 v Melo Wanderers, W 2-1 v Oriental, D 1-1 v Peñarol de Rivera.
Cerro are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Liverpool Montevideo, L 0-1 v Penarol, L 0-2 @ Cerro Largo, W 1-0 v Central Espanol.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2023: Ferro Carril 0-0 Cerro.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
