Alaior v Platges Calvià: the model read
Alaior meet Platges Calvià in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 group 11 - 24 at Estadio Los Pinos, Menorca. The model makes Platges Calvià the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% ALA, 33% draw, 39% PLA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Platges Calvià, 40% against 28%. Attacking output favors Platges Calvià on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Platges Calvià at 58%; double chance reads Alaior or draw 61%, Platges Calvià or draw 72%.
Alaior arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Portmany, L 1-2 @ Mallorca II, L 0-3 v Poblense, L 0-1 @ Constància.
Platges Calvià are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Cardassar, W 4-2 v Manacor, L 0-1 @ Mercadal, W 3-0 @ Felanitx.
Platges Calvià hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Alaior 0-0 Platges Calvià.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
