Where the market is wrong on Crystal Palace v Bristol City
Crystal Palace meet Bristol City in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Crystal Palace on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Crystal Palace arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Bristol City, D 0-0 @ Leeds, W 4-0 v Lech Poznan, L 2-3 v Ipswich.
Bristol City are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Crystal Palace, W 1-0 v Watford, L 0-1 v Lincoln, L 1-4 @ Southampton.
Bristol City hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Crystal Palace 0-2 Bristol City.
The market prices CRY at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Bristol City: a 15.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
