Where the market is wrong on Jabaquara U20 v Santos U20
Jabaquara U20 meet Santos U20 in the Paulista - U20 round of 32.
Santos U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans Santos U20, 73% against 30%. Attacking output favors Santos U20 on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.8 per match.
Jabaquara U20 arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Santos U20, L 1-4 v Santos U20, L 1-3 @ Juventus U20, L 0-2 v União Suzano U20.
Santos U20 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Jabaquara U20, W 4-1 @ Jabaquara U20, W 2-0 v Mirassol U20, D 1-1 v Cuiabá U20.
Santos U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santos U20 2-0 Jabaquara U20.
The market prices JAB at 7% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
