Where the market is wrong on Hallam v Prescot Cables
Hallam meet Prescot Cables in the FA Trophy final.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 37%. Attacking output favors Prescot Cables on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Hallam arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Prescot Cables, D 1-1 v Runcorn Linnets, D 3-3 v Mossley, D 0-0 v Sheffield Wednesday.
Prescot Cables are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Hallam, L 0-2 @ Atherton Collieries, D 1-1 @ Pontefract Collieries, W 2-0 v Horbury Town.
The market prices HAL at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on Hallam: a 13.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output