Where the market is wrong on Japan W v Chinese Taipei W
Japan W meet Chinese Taipei W in the Asian Games Women group stage - 3 at Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka.
Japan W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1589. Recent form leans Japan W, 80% against 58%. Attacking output favors Japan W on expected goals, 3.4 to 1.6 per match.
Japan W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 24 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Philippines W, W 4-0 v Chinese Taipei W, W 8-0 @ Vietnam W, W 8-0 v Thailand W.
Chinese Taipei W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Korea DPR W, L 0-4 @ Japan W, W 1-0 @ Thailand W, W 2-1 v Vietnam W.
The market prices JAP at 94% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 17.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
