Where the market is wrong on Real Sociedad W v Hearts W
Real Sociedad W meet Hearts W in the UEFA Europa Cup - Women 1st qualifying round - finals at Instalaciones de Zubieta, San Sebastian.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors Hearts W on expected goals, 3.3 to 1.6 per match.
Real Sociedad W arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Hearts W, L 3-5 v Real Madrid W, D 0-0 @ Hearts W, D 0-0 @ FC Levante Badalona W.
Hearts W are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Real Sociedad W, D 0-0 v Real Sociedad W, L 1-2 @ Køge W, W 2-1 @ Gintra-Universitetas W.
Real Sociedad W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Sociedad W 4-0 Hearts W.
The market prices REA at 88% implied. Our number sits apart on Hearts W: a 42.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
