Where the market is wrong on TPV v FC jazz
TPV meet FC jazz in the Ykkönen group stage at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass, Tampere.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC jazz, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors FC jazz on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
TPV arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v FC jazz, L 0-3 @ Inter Turku II, W 4-2 v KuPS Akatemia, L 0-2 v PKKU.
FC jazz are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ TPV, L 0-2 v VJS, W 3-0 v KPV-j, W 2-0 v Inter Turku II.
FC jazz hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: TPV 1-3 FC jazz.
The market prices TPV at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on FC jazz: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
