UCV v Puerto Cabello: the model read
UCV meet Puerto Cabello in the Primera División clausura - 8 at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Puerto Cabello, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Puerto Cabello on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
UCV arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Puerto Cabello, D 1-1 @ Estudiantes de Merida FC, W 4-1 v Rayo Zuliano, L 0-2 @ Zamora FC.
Puerto Cabello are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ UCV, D 1-1 v Deportivo La Guaira, W 3-0 v Anzoátegui FC, D 1-1 @ Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Puerto Cabello hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UCV 0-0 Puerto Cabello.
The market prices UCV at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Puerto Cabello: a 1.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
