Where the market is wrong on Joondalup City v Armadale
Joondalup City meet Armadale in the Western Australia NPL semi-finals at Iluka Sports Complex, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Joondalup City, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Armadale on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Joondalup City arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Armadale, L 0-1 v UWA Nedlands, W 1-0 v Curtin University, D 1-1 @ Inglewood United.
Armadale are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Joondalup City, L 0-4 v Perth RedStar, W 3-1 v Dianella White Eagle, D 3-3 @ Balcatta.
Armadale hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Joondalup City 1-2 Armadale.
The market prices JOO at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Joondalup City: a 23.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
