Where the market is wrong on Sumsel United v PSPS
Sumsel United meet PSPS in the Liga 2 regular season - 3 at Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors PSPS on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.
Sumsel United arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v PSPS, L 0-2 @ PSGC Ciamis, D 2-2 v PSMS Medan, W 3-1 v Persekat.
PSPS are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Sumsel United, W 2-1 v Persiraja Banda Aceh, L 1-2 @ PSIS Semarang, L 2-3 @ Bekasi City.
PSPS hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sumsel United 1-2 PSPS.
The market prices SUM at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on PSPS: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
