Where the market is wrong on Vietnam U20 v Korea DPR U20
Vietnam U20 meet Korea DPR U20 in the AFC U20 Asian Cup group stage - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1551, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Vietnam U20 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Korea DPR U20 at 56%; double chance reads Vietnam U20 or draw 62%, Korea DPR U20 or draw 70%.
Vietnam U20 arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Syria U20, W 4-1 @ Bangladesh U20, W 3-0 v Guam U20, W 5-0 @ Bhutan U20.
Korea DPR U20 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Saudi Arabia U20, L 1-2 v Jordan U20, D 1-1 @ Iraq U20, W 1-0 @ Oman U20.
The market prices VIE at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output