Where the market is wrong on Hai Phong v Than Quang Ninh
Hai Phong meet Than Quang Ninh in the Cup round of 32.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Than Quang Ninh, 45% against 29%. Attacking output favors Hai Phong on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Hai Phong arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Than Quang Ninh, W 3-1 @ Hoang Anh Gia Lai, L 1-4 v Phu Dong, D 1-1 v Nam Dinh.
Than Quang Ninh are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Hai Phong, L 0-3 v Hung Yen, W 4-2 v Hồ Chí Minh II, D 1-1 @ Sanna Khanh Hoa.
Than Quang Ninh hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hai Phong 0-1 Than Quang Ninh.
The market prices HAI at 78% implied. Our number sits apart on Than Quang Ninh: a 29.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
