Where the market is wrong on Petare FC v Monagas II
Petare FC meet Monagas II in the Segunda División regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1568 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 59% against 66%. Attacking output favors Monagas II on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Petare FC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Monagas II, D 2-2 v Anzoátegui FC, W 3-1 @ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz, L 0-1 @ Atletico Avila FC.
Monagas II are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Petare FC, W 3-0 @ Atletico Avila FC, L 2-3 v Bolívar, W 2-1 @ Mineros de Guyana.
The market prices PET at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Monagas II: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
