Colón v Fenix: the model read
Colón meet Fenix in the Copa Uruguay group stage - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Fenix on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Colón arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Fenix, W 1-0 v Tacuarembo, D 1-1 @ Plaza Colonia, W 2-1 v La Luz.
Fenix are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Colón, D 1-1 v Miramar, L 0-2 v Liverpool Montevideo, W 2-0 @ Tacuarembo.
Colón hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colón 3-3 Fenix.
The market prices COL at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Fenix: a 1.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
