Where the market is wrong on Marko v Kifisia
Marko meet Kifisia in the Cup greek cup - 1 at Markopoulo Municipal Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kifisia on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Marko arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ellas Syros, D 0-0 v Kalamata, W 2-1 v Panionios, W 3-0 @ Olympiakos Piraeus II.
Kifisia are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v AEK Athens FC, W 6-1 @ Zakynthos, D 2-2 @ Apoel Nicosia, L 0-3 @ Waalwijk.
The market prices MAR at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Marko: a 10.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
