Where the market is wrong on Atletico Avila FC v Monagas II
Atletico Avila FC meet Monagas II in the Segunda División regular season - 19.
Monagas II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans Monagas II, 68% against 36%. Attacking output favors Monagas II on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Monagas II at 68%; double chance reads Atletico Avila FC or draw 54%, Monagas II or draw 78%.
Atletico Avila FC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Monagas II, W 1-0 v Petare FC, L 0-3 @ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz, D 0-0 v Aragua FC.
Monagas II are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Atletico Avila FC, L 2-3 v Bolívar, W 2-1 @ Mineros de Guyana, D 2-2 @ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz.
Monagas II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atletico Avila FC 0-3 Monagas II.
The market prices ATL at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Monagas II: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output