Where the market is wrong on LDU de Quito v Aucas
LDU de Quito meet Aucas in the Copa Ecuador quarter-finals at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 60%. Attacking output favors Aucas on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
LDU de Quito arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Mushuc Runa SC, L 1-2 @ Guayaquil City FC, W 1-0 v Aucas, W 2-0 v Emelec.
Aucas are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Libertad, L 0-1 @ LDU de Quito, W 1-0 @ Delfin SC, L 0-1 v LDU de Quito.
LDU de Quito hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: LDU de Quito 1-0 Aucas.
The market prices LDU at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Aucas: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
